Technological Unemployment
May 18, 2014 Leave a comment
Anecdote: When I was around the age of seven or eight years old I watched a sci-fi fantasy film that entirely changed my worldview, both frightening and exhilarating at once, it has been responsible for shaping my personal philosophy and outlook towards at least one possible future for Humanity – a technological future of abundance, which later ground breaking TV series such as Star Trek helped to concretise as my philosophy for the future.
That movie was “Forbidden Planet” which portrayed an already techno-savvy intergalactic Human civilisation discovering a distant planet of an even more advanced technological civilisation called the Krell who had literally innovated them-selves beyond any mortal needs or even physical form, and with all of their technological dreams apparently accomplished and realised simply disappeared? As a teen I also remember specifically contemplating what Humans would do in such a technological civilisation, with no longer any needs of work or money, what would be left for Humans to accomplish and aspire to? – more on this later.
Technology, market innovation and increasing industrial automation has been replacing manual jobs for much of the last century through the displacement of Agricultural workers into factory workers, and now, with the increasing power and sophistication of computers as highlighted by Moore’s Law is also posing a real threat and paradigm shift for the future employment of academic, clerical and “white collar” workers.
This argument is now being echoed in the discussions of academia across the globe and at first impressions sounds like rather a brash forecast, yet is this fact of fiction? Well I am afraid to say that all of the statistical evidence circulating proves that growing technological unemployment is indeed reality and fact, and that the power of computation combined with the manipulation of Big Data is well positioned to now displace even jobs that Humans believed and reasoned were beyond the capabilities of any machine algorithm.
These jobs at risk would include the legal and health sectors, widespread clerical, management and administration, journalism, (as already used for articles and reports on sports pages), logistics and transport, and moreover, any work or job where mundane or even complex duties and tasks can be effectively reduced to mechanism and process, such as monitoring and management of employees production, clerical filing, referencing and scanning/movement of documents to retrieve information and etc. In fact it is the challenge to speculate on employment sectors where technology will not be able to compete for the jobs of Humans – perhaps you may wish to contemplate this for yourself, (key word is creativity)?
IBM Watson, the computer now well known for decimating the best of competitors on US TV Show “Jeopardy” is now being “employed” towards market Big data and especially for provision of an idealised “global Healthcare oracle” and knowledge base, for the use by physicians and academia around the world – just imagine the market potential and uses for a machine such as Watson, and IBM is not resting on it’s innovative laurels either. Big Blue really does think Big!
The prospect for technology and automation to provide for all of the basic needs for Humanity such as food, water, clothing, housing and even healthcare is not science fiction but is fact and is possible even right here, right now, and today? It is not a technological/engineering or logistical problem and dilemma to overcome but is rather the systematic economic model of thought and ultimately the political obstacles constructed entirely by Humans themselves which oppose real progress?
So even though it may be easy and first impulse to be pessimistic regarding technology, increasing automation and growing mass unemployment, and such like history repeats may inspire a tendency towards, “Luddite” sensibilities and emotions, (which ultimately proved short lived and unfounded despite the best of virtues and social concerns by the Luddites), it should also be noted that Humanity is swiftly approaching, (Moore’s Law), a new technological era where work, employment and wage servitude is redundant and is no longer necessary?
Thus there is naturally a dichotomy and dissonance between these positive and negative attitudes and aspirations for/towards technology, automation, progress and for growing mass unemployment. However, the real danger is in failure to contemplate and face the facts regarding increasing technological unemployment, and the possible consequences for increasing poverty, suffering and hardship for citizens and society.
This is manifest today as a failure by politicians to forward think and contemplate the consequences of growing mass unemployment that will affect our future and society, in favour of upholding and perpetuating the status quo of Capitalism and the interests of a global economic model based on the proliferation of world-wide debt that benefits the few and which is further establishing growing inequality, suffering and poverty – As is often said, a politician cannot serve two masters, yet as to which and who’s ideals should a politician really be serving anyhow?
In the past, employment of the masses by the Capitalism economic model of wage servitude has been creative in providing new jobs in administrative white collar management and the service industry, (think call-sweat centres where numbers of calls and toilet breaks are closely monitored for those serfs lucky enough to be “monitor” as opposed to being monitored). Yet these jobs are precisely the sectors now at threat by automated call centres, and where there are no employees there is no need for a management hierarchy to manage them?
It should be clear enough that we ALL need to think about the future, about the positives of technology to provide for the needs of all of us, the entire world, and especially to contemplate a future without work, employment and jobs, whether you actually want to keep this system or not. For this contemplation we need to re-evaluate the present economic model based on the proliferation of debt for the sake of profit and growth and burdened by the shoulders of those without work and subjugated by a systematic poverty trap – and especially as this may well be YOU and me in the very near future?
Links
Could a big data-crunching machine be your boss one day?
The Future of Employment – Oxford Martin School
Will Automation Lead to Economic Collapse?
IBM big data and information management